Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 96.460062 109.735741 124.850895 143.480086 166.024625 192.687327 227.002273
2025-04-27 81.666214 99.658358 122.237095 153.264655 195.803883 253.678484 341.367138
2025-05-04 69.737298 88.856738 114.364826 152.019167 208.294455 293.124554 439.240231
2025-05-11 62.353735 82.174561 109.934520 153.387393 223.268826 338.665806 563.004005
2025-05-18 55.863784 75.551824 104.186202 151.151768 231.373702 374.582871 685.123645
2025-05-25 51.605213 71.462689 101.367868 152.629795 245.461783 424.691288 861.056246
2025-06-01 47.675561 67.330749 97.809299 152.062621 255.480429 469.864540 1052.979589
2025-06-08 44.046375 63.235027 93.732018 149.801255 261.588598 508.694867 1255.395307
2025-06-15 42.293713 61.883366 93.925166 155.137121 284.011673 592.785038 1665.686173
2025-06-22 38.756163 57.305227 88.133484 148.314323 279.050551 607.582882 1853.087824
2025-06-29 36.581360 54.784388 85.634641 147.491816 287.270811 660.798803 2253.899078
2025-07-06 34.707444 52.605195 83.503671 147.064709 296.314271 720.479354 2769.880278
2025-07-13 33.642200 51.881676 84.227813 153.331230 325.272092 863.318065 4072.392440
2025-07-20 33.107538 52.057392 86.699664 164.003755 370.021760 1096.790049 6913.204090
2025-07-27 31.255566 49.702116 84.028897 162.639354 381.097584 1212.932762 9427.418073
2025-08-03 29.894399 48.117587 82.687653 164.137151 401.344162 1388.380229 14182.001785
2025-08-10 28.280879 45.933239 79.906240 161.689981 408.639552 1511.797196 19761.796543
2025-08-17 27.191358 44.645712 78.827676 163.307741 430.145153 1736.574527 32698.123351
2025-08-24 26.000582 43.073311 76.992549 162.686888 443.939806 1937.383819 53313.303705
2025-08-31 24.757799 41.313272 74.593728 160.212217 450.388052 2103.514201 85128.807767
2025-09-07 24.260406 40.970307 75.221430 166.053216 491.257543 2591.782140 253915.870740
2025-09-14 22.812559 38.651674 71.292242 158.585654 475.995794 2602.891125 354267.934141
2025-09-21 21.941175 37.435519 69.732757 157.686124 488.428005 2893.882438 992307.287498